Archive
Everything on this site in one chronological list, newest first - heuristics, articles and events - with the combined feed. Articles published elsewhere are under Insights.
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Playbook 01, part 2
The Variety Map
The Variety Map is grounded in two axes and a square. Every decision loop in an operating model should have one point on it.
Playbooks -
Heuristic 04
Dissolve the problem, don't just (sub-) optimise the supply chain
Improvement programmes make issues cheaper and keep them alive. An ideality mindset actually asks what must be true for the problem not to exist.
Heuristics -
Playbook 01
Operating Model Physics
A method for designing operating models: place each decision loop on a two-axis map to measure the variety it has or can absorb.
Playbooks -
Chapter 01
Problem statement: why commodities require different planning and execution solutions
After some years in this industry, I've discovered the gap is never in the data.
Supply chain planning and execution in commodities -
Heuristic 03
Decision loop readiness
Supply chain and operations AI readiness tends to score the wrong item. The decision loop determines whether it’s AI-ready.
Heuristics -
Chapter 01
Problem statement: what I'm solving
Alternative methods also existed, but getting from a table to a proper forecast or prediction was always a painful project.
Zero-shot prediction models in supply chain -
Article
What does supply chain orchestration actually orchestrate?
Orchestrate inside the walls, but calibrate beyond them.
Insights -
Panellist
17th SCTA Forum & Dinner
2m2c - Montreux Music & Convention Centre, Montreux - Panel 4 - From Bottlenecks to Flow: Rethinking Coffee Logistics
Events -
Panellist
AI-enabled Negotiation Preparation
online on Zoom - The Expert Q&A Panel - CIPS Denmark webinar
Events -
Heuristic 02
Asymmetric supply chain physics
Symmetric vs asymmetric supply chains, and the Outside Variance Ratio that tells you which one you're in.
Heuristics -
Heuristic 01
Requisite variety in supply chain
Any operation can absorb only as much variation as it has responses for. The Variety Shortfall Test finds where it loses.
Heuristics -
Chapter 01
The system of record isn't where the work happens
Every supply chain runs on two distinct technology landscapes. The official one records what happened: every transaction, supply chain event, and data point.
Citizen Developers in Supply Chain -
Co-host
The Invisible Chain
Ambassador House, Zurich - Resilient by Design: How AI-Driven Operations Shape Margins and Performance
Events